Portfolio / Revenue Leakage Analysis

Portfolio · Dermatology

Revenue Leakage Analysis

Finding $311K in a three-provider dermatology practice’s revenue cycle. The practice was busy but short on cash, and the owner asked: where is revenue slipping, and what should we fix first?

In short

The result

$311K

Revenue leak found

Across five leaks; includes a point-in-time A/R balance.

$133K

Realistic year-one recovery

Range $82K–$184K.

$3.13M

Yearly collections

16,166 completed visits.

9.9%

Denial rate

Share of insurance claims denied.

Sample data built from public benchmarks. The clinic is fictional. As of Sep 30, 2026.

The approach

Real prices, simulated clinic, checked twice

  • REAL

    Every visit priced at 2026 Medicare rates from the CMS fee schedule.

  • BENCHMARK

    Payer denial patterns ranked from CMS Transparency in Coverage data; goals from MGMA and HFMA.

  • MODELED

    One simulated year of visits, claims, payments and unpaid balances.

How we checked the numbers

  1. 01One pipeline computes every metric once, so the dashboard, one-pager and this page always agree.
  2. 02An independent validator recomputes each headline figure from the raw tables: 47 automated checks.
  3. 03Nothing ships while a single check fails.

What we found

Five leaks, ranked by dollars

Where the sample clinic loses money
  1. Written-Off Denials$109K
  2. A/R Over 90 Days$78K
  3. Missed Visits$66K
  4. Unbooked Capacity$53K
  5. Underpayments$5K

Total found: $311K. Realistic year-one recovery: $133K. Sample data; the clinic is fictional.

  1. Denials cost the clinic $109K in write-offs this year, and 768 of 1,478 denials trace to missing prior auth or eligibility errors that a pre-visit check would catch.
  2. $82K sits unpaid for more than 90 days ($78K after setting aside underpayments), which is 18.8% of all open balances against an industry goal under 10%.
  3. Bringing missed visits down to 7% and booking 90% of slots would add $119K a year, and new patients miss 13% of their appointments versus 9% for established patients.
The five leaks in the sample clinic. Sample data; the clinic is fictional.
LeakWhat it looks likeFoundYear-one recoveryOwner
Written-Off DenialsClaims the payer denied that were written off instead of fixed and resubmitted.A Mohs case done without prior auth. A new patient whose coverage ended last month.$109K$39KPrior Auth Coordinator
A/R Over 90 DaysMoney owed to the practice that has sat unpaid for more than 90 days.A stack of aging claims nobody owns, getting closer to the filing deadline every week.$78K$31KBilling Manager
Missed VisitsBooked visits lost to no-shows and late cancellations, above a 7% goal.Gaps in a full-looking schedule. New patients missing more often than established ones.$66K$33KFront Desk Lead
Unbooked CapacityProvider time that was open but never booked, below a 90% booking goal.A waitlist for new patients and empty slots on the same day.$53K$26KPractice Administrator
UnderpaymentsClaims the payer paid, but for less than the contracted rate.Payments posted without anyone comparing them to the contract.$5K$3KBilling Specialist
Total$311K$133K ($82K–$184K)

Sample data built from public benchmarks. The clinic is fictional. As of Sep 30, 2026.

What we recommend

The 30-day plan

Week one needs no new software. Every action has an owner and a measure.

30-day action plan for the sample clinic. Sample data.
WeekActionOwnerEst. Recovery
1Build a prior auth log for Mohs and procedure visits and confirm auth before the visit is kept.Prior Auth Coordinator$30K
1Run eligibility checks on every new patient two business days before the visit.Front Desk Lead$10K
1Turn on 3-day and 1-day text reminders for all bookings, including short-notice ones.Front Desk Lead$23K
2Start a weekly aged-claim queue for balances over 90 days, sorted by dollars.Billing Manager$31K
2Require a second review before any denial is written off.Billing ManagerEnables Others
3Load contracted rates into the billing system and flag payments below contract.Billing Specialist$3K
3Keep a same-day waitlist and release open slots to new patients 72 hours out.Practice Administrator$36K
4Review the scorecard with providers and reset 12-month goals.Practice AdministratorEnables Others
Recovery range and assumptions

Base case assumes the clinic recovers 50% of the missed-visit gap, 50% of unbooked capacity, 50% of the auth and eligibility write-offs, 40% of A/R over 90 days and 60% of underpayments in year one.

The $82K to $184K range uses 30% to 70% of the missed-visit gap, 25% to 75% of unbooked capacity, 35% to 65% of auth and eligibility write-offs, 25% to 55% of aged A/R, 40% to 80% of underpayments. These are modeled assumptions, not guarantees.

Sources

Sources and provenance

  • CMS 2026 Physician Fee Schedule (RVU26D)
  • CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners 2024
  • CMS Transparency in Coverage public use file
  • KFF analysis of marketplace claim denials
  • X12 Claim Adjustment Reason Codes
  • MGMA
  • HFMA
  • AMN Healthcare 2025 wait-time survey

CPT codes are shown by number with plain-language labels. This analysis is financial and operational only; it is not medical, legal or billing-compliance advice.

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